Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.8#14
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#9
Pace79.6#14
Improvement-3.4#310

Offense
Total Offense+8.6#14
Improvement+0.7#145

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#40
Improvement-4.1#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 25.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round86.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen52.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight25.8% n/a n/a
Final Four11.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.9% n/a n/a
National Champion1.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2013 279   UNC Wilmington W 95-62 98%     1 - 0 +23.6 +18.4 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2013 240   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 80-50 97%     2 - 0 +22.8 +3.9 +19.5
  Nov 17, 2013 13   Michigan W 77-70 59%     3 - 0 +19.5 -1.0 +19.9
  Nov 20, 2013 47   @ BYU W 90-88 57%     4 - 0 +15.0 +5.2 +9.5
  Nov 25, 2013 278   UMKC W 110-51 98%     5 - 0 +49.6 +15.2 +24.6
  Dec 02, 2013 117   Auburn W 99-70 90%     6 - 0 +29.8 +9.8 +15.5
  Dec 07, 2013 96   Northern Iowa W 91-82 OT 82%     7 - 0 +14.0 +0.2 +12.1
  Dec 13, 2013 20   Iowa W 85-82 63%     8 - 0 +14.4 +4.4 +9.7
  Dec 22, 2013 137   George Mason W 79-67 88%     9 - 0 +14.0 +2.6 +10.6
  Dec 23, 2013 136   Akron W 83-60 88%     10 - 0 +25.0 +20.8 +6.3
  Dec 25, 2013 68   Boise St. W 70-66 76%     11 - 0 +11.3 +8.2 +3.8
  Dec 31, 2013 196   Northern Illinois W 99-63 95%     12 - 0 +31.4 +33.3 -0.8
  Jan 04, 2014 71   @ Texas Tech W 73-62 68%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +21.0 +7.9 +13.7
  Jan 07, 2014 30   Baylor W 87-72 69%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +24.7 +10.3 +13.5
  Jan 11, 2014 27   @ Oklahoma L 82-87 45%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +11.1 +4.0 +7.7
  Jan 13, 2014 4   Kansas L 70-77 50%     14 - 2 2 - 2 +7.8 -6.3 +14.9
  Jan 18, 2014 38   @ Texas L 76-86 55%     14 - 3 2 - 3 +3.6 +4.4 +0.1
  Jan 25, 2014 45   Kansas St. W 81-75 76%     15 - 3 3 - 3 +13.6 +9.2 +4.0
  Jan 29, 2014 4   @ Kansas L 81-92 30%     15 - 4 3 - 4 +9.3 +9.7 +0.6
  Feb 01, 2014 27   Oklahoma W 81-75 66%     16 - 4 4 - 4 +16.5 +2.9 +13.0
  Feb 03, 2014 15   @ Oklahoma St. W 98-97 3OT 39%     17 - 4 5 - 4 +18.6 +11.4 +7.0
  Feb 08, 2014 195   TCU W 84-69 95%     18 - 4 6 - 4 +10.4 +10.8 -0.4
  Feb 10, 2014 51   @ West Virginia L 77-102 60%     18 - 5 6 - 5 -12.8 -0.5 -9.7
  Feb 15, 2014 71   Texas Tech W 70-64 84%     19 - 5 7 - 5 +10.4 +3.8 +7.1
  Feb 18, 2014 38   Texas W 85-76 74%     20 - 5 8 - 5 +17.0 +12.9 +3.6
  Feb 22, 2014 195   @ TCU W 71-60 90%     21 - 5 9 - 5 +12.0 +3.4 +9.0
  Feb 26, 2014 51   West Virginia W 83-66 78%     22 - 5 10 - 5 +23.7 +8.4 +14.8
  Mar 01, 2014 45   @ Kansas St. L 73-80 57%     22 - 6 10 - 6 +6.1 +4.9 +1.6
  Mar 04, 2014 30   @ Baylor L 61-74 48%     22 - 7 10 - 7 +2.3 -2.0 +3.1
  Mar 08, 2014 15   Oklahoma St. W 85-81 OT 61%     23 - 7 11 - 7 +16.1 +4.7 +10.7
  Mar 13, 2014 45   Kansas St. W 91-85 67%     24 - 7 +16.4 +19.5 -3.5
  Mar 14, 2014 4   Kansas W 94-83 40%     25 - 7 +28.5 +18.9 +8.6
  Mar 15, 2014 30   Baylor W 74-65 59%     26 - 7 +21.5 +11.5 +11.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.9 2.2 23.4 57.4 16.6 0.4
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.9 2.2 23.4 57.4 16.6 0.4